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Reports

OpenAI and Anthropic Cut AI Model Prices as $1.75B in Funding Flows to Data, Security and Infrastructure

September 23, 2026

OpenAI and Anthropic both cut the price of frontier intelligence on the same day. GPT-6 Sol lists at $2 per million input tokens and $10 per million output; GPT-6 Luna at $0.10 and $0.50. Both sit roughly 50% below GPT-5.6. Anthropic's Claude Opus 5.5 lists at $4 and $20, costs about 40% less to run than Opus 5, and matches Fable 5.1 on most tasks by the company's own account. … [Read more...] about OpenAI and Anthropic Cut AI Model Prices as $1.75B in Funding Flows to Data, Security and Infrastructure

Semiconductor Revenue Hits Record $425B in Q2 2026, but Omdia’s $500B Q3 Forecast Implies Growth Halves

September 15, 2026

Global semiconductor revenue passed $425 billion in the second quarter of 2026, up 31.4% from the first, according to Omdia. That's the fastest sequential growth the firm has recorded since it started tracking the market in 2002. The previous record, 29.2%, was set one quarter earlier. First-half revenue came to $752 billion, more than any full year in the industry's history … [Read more...] about Semiconductor Revenue Hits Record $425B in Q2 2026, but Omdia’s $500B Q3 Forecast Implies Growth Halves

AI Extinction Warnings Went Global in Six Days. Nothing in the Technology Changed.

September 14, 2026

Start with my conflict. I hold semiconductor and AI infrastructure positions, which means a calm story about AI is worth money to me and a frightening one isn't. Take that into account for everything below. I'll concede something else too, because it's true: the people warning about this aren't frauds. Several of them held these views years before there was a payroll attached, … [Read more...] about AI Extinction Warnings Went Global in Six Days. Nothing in the Technology Changed.

Anthropic Walks Away From $6 Billion Decart Acquisition: The Deal Was About Inference Cost, Not World Models

September 8, 2026

Bloomberg reported late Monday that Anthropic completed due diligence on the Israeli startup Decart and then decided against buying it. The number attached to the talks was roughly $6 billion, which would have made it Anthropic's largest acquisition by a wide margin. Representatives for both companies declined to comment. One person familiar with the discussions said the two … [Read more...] about Anthropic Walks Away From $6 Billion Decart Acquisition: The Deal Was About Inference Cost, Not World Models

VR Status Report 2026: Quest Sales Keep Falling While Smart Glasses Take the Money

August 30, 2026

Virtual & Augmented Reality Market Analysis

Nine years ago the fastest way to draw a crowd at a tech conference was a folding table, a box of phone-slot headsets and a pile of over-ear cans. People queued for it. Samsung's Gear VR, with Oculus software inside and a Galaxy handset dropped into the front, was the cheap on-ramp everybody used to explain what the next platform would feel like. That product line is gone, … [Read more...] about VR Status Report 2026: Quest Sales Keep Falling While Smart Glasses Take the Money

The Case That the US Can Grow Out of $40 Trillion in Debt: Three Conditions the Clinton Surpluses Actually Met

August 26, 2026

The consensus response to the administration's growth argument is that it is arithmetically impossible. That response is too quick. The arithmetic is not impossible. It has been done before, within living memory, in this country, and the mechanism that did it was mostly not legislation. What makes the current version unlikely is not the math. It is that the math requires three … [Read more...] about The Case That the US Can Grow Out of $40 Trillion in Debt: Three Conditions the Clinton Surpluses Actually Met

The $40 Trillion Debt: Why AI Capex Raises Treasury Borrowing Costs Faster Than It Raises the Tax Base

August 26, 2026

Gross federal debt crossed $40 trillion on August 19, months ahead of the forecast path, in part because the revenue from the invalidated tariffs never arrived. The administration's answer is growth. "The way you take care of debt is with growth," Trump said. Bessent, on CNBC: there is nothing magic about the number, and the economy can grow out of it. Kent Smetters, who runs … [Read more...] about The $40 Trillion Debt: Why AI Capex Raises Treasury Borrowing Costs Faster Than It Raises the Tax Base

Rockefeller Center Has Been a Credit Instrument for Forty Years: From the 1985 REIT to the $3.5 Billion 2024 CMBS

August 18, 2026

Rockefeller Center Has Been a Credit Instrument for Forty Years

Most people looking at Rockefeller Center see a landmark. The more useful way to read it is as collateral. Since 1985 the complex has been financed, defaulted on, seized, resold and refinanced through a sequence of increasingly large debt structures, and in almost every cycle the equity holder has been the one who got hurt while the paper written against the building did what … [Read more...] about Rockefeller Center Has Been a Credit Instrument for Forty Years: From the 1985 REIT to the $3.5 Billion 2024 CMBS

Who Insures the AI Buildout? $30 Billion Campuses Meet a $3.5 Billion Ceiling

August 18, 2026

Lloyd's Building, London

The five largest cloud providers are on track to spend roughly $600 billion on infrastructure this year, and the broader hyperscaler group closer to $710 billion. Every dollar of that lands somewhere physical: a building, a transformer yard, a battery room, a rack of GPUs worth more than the concrete around them. Someone has to insure it. Increasingly, nobody … [Read more...] about Who Insures the AI Buildout? $30 Billion Campuses Meet a $3.5 Billion Ceiling

Retail Earnings Week: The 1.65% Real Sales Number Behind the 5% Headline

August 17, 2026

Retail sales fell 0.6% in July against a consensus of plus 0.1%, the steepest monthly decline since May 2025, and the tape read it on Friday as evidence of a consumer finally cracking. The composition says something narrower and more useful. Non-store retail fell 2.2%, the largest drop of any category, because Prime Day, Walmart+ Week and Target Circle promotions ran in June … [Read more...] about Retail Earnings Week: The 1.65% Real Sales Number Behind the 5% Headline

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