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Nvidia, Still the Center of Gravity

November 11, 2025

The story here is familiar, but it keeps getting louder. Nvidia’s upcoming earnings are drawing the usual mix of anticipation and speculation, and Wall Street is already taking positions before the numbers even arrive. Citi Research just bumped its price target on the stock from $650 to $720, and the reasoning is exactly what you’d expect if you’ve been watching the AI hardware world this past year: demand hasn’t cooled. If anything, the appetite for Nvidia’s processors has continued to surge as companies large and small chase computational power like it’s the new oxygen. Every new model, quantum computing breakthrough, every new training run, every scaling exercise leads to the same question: who can supply the muscle? And the answer keeps circling back to Nvidia.

The raise isn’t just cheerleading. It reflects something concrete in the market: hyperscalers, cloud platforms, and enterprise AI builders are still placing massive orders, often months in advance. The company remains in the rare position of being both the enabler and the bottleneck of the AI boom. When Nvidia speaks about supply, or yield, or new product timelines, it doesn’t just move its own stock — it ripples across entire sectors. This is why the upcoming earnings matter almost more for sentiment than for spreadsheets. Investors will be looking at forward guidance, backlog conversion, and clues about how soon Blackwell ramp will meaningfully hit revenue. Those details will shape how the next quarter of AI infrastructure investment feels, not just for Nvidia but for everyone trying to build on top of its ecosystem.

What sticks with me is how the market keeps returning to the same narrative anchor: Nvidia isn’t just another chip company. It’s the one setting the pace. Competitors can announce architectures, sampling schedules, even partnerships, but the gravitational pull of Nvidia’s software stack — CUDA, cuDNN, the entire development environment — remains one of the strongest moats in tech today. As long as engineers start their work within Nvidia’s world, the company continues to benefit from this quiet but relentless lock-in effect. Wall Street understands this, which is why analysts can raise targets in the midst of market volatility without appearing reckless.

There’s always the question of what could break the rhythm. Supply chain shifts, regulatory blocks, cloud budget slowdowns, new challenger architectures — all of these exist, and none are theoretical. But so far, none have been enough to pull Nvidia off the front of the wave. Citi’s new target doesn’t introduce a new narrative; it simply reinforces the one the market has been living with: Nvidia remains the center of gravity in the AI expansion, and until something changes at a fundamental level, the market is willing to price that leadership at a premium.

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