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Tesla: Inflated Valuation, Hollow Promises

September 9, 2025

Tesla’s once-mythical aura of innovation is cracking under the weight of both competitive reality and the company’s own misguided priorities. The most recent data point should trouble even the most die-hard Musk supporters: Tesla’s U.S. market share fell to its lowest point in nearly eight years this August. Buyers are flocking to alternatives from Ford, Hyundai, BYD, Rivian, and a dozen others, all of which are producing fresher, more affordable, and in some cases better-engineered EVs than Tesla’s aging lineup. While rivals expand offerings and introduce new designs, Tesla clings to the same portfolio, essentially stretching Model 3 and Model Y variants while promising futuristic vehicles like the Cybertruck and the long-delayed Roadster that remain more promotional tools than real products. The company looks less like a leader in automotive engineering and more like a firm fixated on inflating its stock to keep its CEO at the center of global wealth rankings.

What investors must confront is the mismatch between Tesla’s financial reality and its valuation. Tesla trades at multiples that dwarf those of Toyota, Volkswagen, or General Motors—even though those firms now deliver comparable or higher EV volumes with significantly broader product lines. The justification for Tesla’s stock price has long rested on the narrative that it was more than a car company—that it was a software firm, an energy giant, or an AI robotics pioneer in disguise. Yet those dreams remain vaporware. Autopilot and Full Self-Driving are still unfinished, legally fraught products that regulators across the globe are scrutinizing. The energy business remains a marginal contributor, far from the “utility-scale disruptor” Musk once teased. And as for AI and robotics, Tesla has showcased dancing people in robot suits more convincingly than actual humanoid production units.

Against this backdrop, Musk’s compensation plan looms like a black hole at the center of the company. Shareholders are expected to rubber-stamp the prospect of their CEO becoming the world’s first trillionaire on the back of stock-linked packages that reward hype, not execution. This is not corporate governance—it is corporate servitude, where a company’s stated mission bends toward enriching one individual rather than building lasting value. If the primary function of Tesla stock is to facilitate Musk’s personal fortune, then owning it ceases to be an investment and becomes an act of devotion, no different from buying tokens in a cult of personality. The faithful might still believe Musk can bend reality to his will. But markets, eventually, have a way of punishing firms that prioritize mythology over competitiveness.

The truth is that Tesla today is a company under siege from all sides. Its margins are eroding under price cuts, its technology lead is evaporating, and its brand—once synonymous with the future—has been tarnished by delays, lawsuits, recalls, and increasingly erratic leadership. Rivals are not only catching up; they are sprinting past. Yet the stock remains priced as though Tesla will dominate a trillion-dollar EV market single-handedly. The disconnect is stark. Why would any serious investor buy into a company whose primary achievement at this stage seems to be engineering financial structures designed to mint Elon Musk as the first trillionaire? If Tesla is no longer leading on cars, batteries, or software, the only thing it leads on is hubris. And that, as history has shown, is never a durable foundation for shareholder value.

Filed Under: Reports

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