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High-Assurance Cyber Military Systems (HACMS) Market Forecast

June 18, 2018

For years the US government stimulated development and upgrade of High-Assurance Cyber Military Systems (HACMS) through DARPA programs, In-Q-Tel funding, government-sponsored research and wide-industry cooperation. The goal of the HACMS program is to create technology for the construction of high-assurance cyber-physical systems, where high assurance is defined to mean functionally correct and satisfying appropriate safety and security properties. Achieving this goal requires a fundamentally different approach from what the software community has taken to date. Consequently, HACMS will adopt a clean-slate, formal methods-based approach to enable semi-automated code synthesis from executable, formal specifications. In addition to generating code, HACMS seeks a synthesizer capable of producing a machine-checkable proof that the generated code satisfies functional specifications as well as security and safety policies. A key technical challenge is the development of techniques to ensure that such proofs are composable, allowing the construction of high-assurance systems out of high-assurance components.

The full potential of the High-Assurance Cyber Military Systems (HACMS) Market is far from being realized, but benefits are already emerging. The U.S. government efforts and investments to secure the national critical infrastructure paid off – despite occasional security breaches the US maintain a considerable technological lead in High-Assurance Cyber Military Systems (HACMS). Probably the largest success of the government initiatives is the establishment of robust ecosystem facilitating effective technology transfer between public and private sectors.

The report forecasts that a few years of the very robust market growth are still ahead, the U.S. High-Assurance Cyber Military Systems (HACMS) market alone is estimated at about $40 Billion annually, with growth projected at about 7% CAGR in the report period.

Embedded systems form a ubiquitous, networked, computing substrate that underlies much of modern technological society. Such systems range from large supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA) systems that manage physical infrastructure to medical devices such as pacemakers and insulin pumps, to computer peripherals such as printers and routers, to communication devices such as cell phones and radios, to vehicles such as airplanes and satellites. Such devices have been networked for a variety of reasons, including the ability to conveniently access diagnostic information, perform software updates, provide innovative features, lower costs, and improve ease of use. Researchers and hackers have shown that these kinds of networked embedded systems are vulnerable to remote attack, and such attacks can cause physical damage while hiding the effects from monitors.

Key HACMS technologies include interactive software synthesis systems, verification tools such as theorem provers and model checkers, and specification languages. Recent fundamental advances in the formal methods community, including advances in satisfiability (SAT) and satisfiability modulo theories (SMT) solvers, separation logic, theorem provers, model checkers, domain-specific languages and code synthesis engines suggest that this approach is feasible. If successful, HACMS will produce a set of publicly available tools integrated into a high-assurance software workbench, which will be widely distributed for use in both the commercial and defense software sectors. HACMS intends to use these tools to (1) generate open-source, high-assurance, and operating system and control system components and (2) use these components to construct high-assurance military vehicles. HACMS will likely transition its technology to both the defense and commercial communities. For the defense sector, HACMS will enable high-assurance military systems ranging from unmanned vehicles (e.g., UAVs, UGVs, and UUVs), to weapons systems, satellites, and command and control devices.

The report provides the detailed year-by-year market forecast of the High-Assurance Cyber Military Systems (HACMS) market, covering the following segments:

  • By key HACMS technologies – interactive software synthesis systems, verification tools such as theorem provers and model checkers, and specification languages.
  • By clean slate approach, infrastructure hardening and hybrid approach.
  • By applications and verticals.
  • By government agencies, defence, civilian and intelligence community.
  • By military systems ranging from unmanned vehicles (e.g., UAVs, UGVs, and UUVs), to weapons systems, satellites, and command and control devices
  • By commercial systems ranging from SCADA systems and Smart Factories to medical devices such as pacemakers and insulin pumps, to computer peripherals such as printers and routers, to communication devices such as cell phones and radios, to vehicles such as airplanes and satellites.
  • By government HACMS markets
  • By proprietary ecosystems.

Filed Under: Reports Tagged With: HACMS, High-Assurance Cyber Military Systems

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